Originally posted by IRockNvegas
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Dice Setting/Dice Control
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I normally just bet don't pass line and buy odds so i decided to just add the extra on pass line and see how it worked. I was betting 20 on the lines and between 40-60 on 4/10, 30-50 5/9 depending on how much i was up i started with $500 total. First night i tried it i played for just over 2 hours and ended up $150, i bounced between -200/+250 during that time. I noticed once someone makes a 2nd point you should just take all your bets off and wait for new shooter. I went again the next night with same $500 and decided to do the 2 point rule, and it help cut out the bad swing. I played for 4 hours that night betting the same 20 on each line with 30-60 odds and ended up $440. If you use this method i'd def bring decent amount to gamble cause to win $40 on one roll you have to be betting 70/80 a roll
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The term for pocketing your winnings is "rat-holing" in case anyone wanted some useless trivia. Dealer in Tunica once told me that when he saw me doing it. He said in the mob-ruled days they didn't allow it.Originally posted by Sidekicknicholas View PostThat is why every time I get another $50 in chips above the seed money, I pocket it. You only need $100 to play this way, so don't even risk the other stuff.Tried this method on Saturday , started with 100 , went up 350 in about 45 minutes
$350 in 45 mins - Lets say you go up $100 every 15 mins.
I'm playing and 7/8 mins later I have $150 - I pocket $50 - Can't touch it again....
and 7/8 mins later I have $150 - I pocket $50 ... can't touch it
and 7/8 mins later I have $150 - I pocket $50 ... can't touch it
.... this goes on for 45 mins.
45 mins later.... I still have $100 on the table playing like its my first roll and have $350 in the pocket. I lose that "seed" $100, oh well, I'm done and walking away with a profit of $250.
I'll be in Vegas first weekend of Dec. for the half marathon. I'm hoping to do just fine by betting 'right' and setting the dice. As long as I'm shooting well betting right is obviously the best bet but I may need this system when the others have a go at the dice.Vegas Half-Marathon "Strip at Night" and Craps table domination: Dec 2 - 5, 2011
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a quick report on my trip last week, was down since the first day playing when i lost 500 in about 20 minutes at the venetian then a single roller won me $700 in about 30 when i went back to aria to pick up my luggage to head to the airport
i still believe in the math, that man just rolled like a living legend
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Awesome report, congrats!!!Originally posted by atomicbomber View Posta quick report on my trip last week, was down since the first day playing when i lost 500 in about 20 minutes at the venetian then a single roller won me $700 in about 30 when i went back to aria to pick up my luggage to head to the airport
i still believe in the math, that man just rolled like a living legend
For 30 minutes of play you Certainly weren't holding back much in your betting!Vegas Half-Marathon "Strip at Night" and Craps table domination: Dec 2 - 5, 2011
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ok, simple strategy, called the Stokely system. Only bet after a 7 is rolled. place 6&8. once it hits, take down your bets. wait for another 7. This takes discipline and patience. But you'll come out ahead.
And this is why it works:
1. There are 10 of 36 ( 5 in 36 for each number) ways to roll a 6 or 8 on any single roll and 6 ways in 36 to roll a 7. So its more likely you will hits a 6 or 8 before a 7 on any given roll. That's obvious. The odds say you should hit one of the 6/8's 62.5% of the time and the 7's 37.5% of the time. Factoring in the payout for 6/8 at 7 for 6, the house collects its percentage when the dreaded 7 finally hits, either as a natural on the come out or if no 6/8 before the next 7. That equates to the 1.51 or so percent house advantage on the Place bet on 6/8.
2. However, the above percentages as described above assume the following, and therefore does NOT apply to the Stokely System and helps explain why it works as well as it does:
a. Above scenario and percentages assumes you keep your place bet on the table for every bet (except the come out), hitting numbers until a seven hits and you lose your table bets (which you are not in my system) or
b. Above scenario and percentages assumes you are betting every time or roll of the dice (working), and as well, leaving your place bet up every single roll of the dice till lost by a seven (which you are not in my system).
*In fact, you break the odds described above using the Stokely System, because you are not betting every roll of the dice AND not leaving your wager up, but taking it down after one hit. In addition, because you use a "working" place 6/8 bet right AFTER every seven, it means you would have to hit TWO sevens in a row to lose on this bet, as you placed your bet right after the last 7. As you will see, this is the least likely point of ever rolling a seven again based on the fact that 7's must average out to one every six rolls on average, so the advantage is one your side (more later).
So is the house edge broken?
(Lets look at another reason for this...)
I think it is but its a little complex to describe the reasoning. Based on the odds, that 6 of 36 times on a roll of dice in craps, you will roll a seven, you will see a rhythm of 7-cycles in which you have hot rolls of many numbers before a seven appears, short cycles with few numbers, and on the extremes, several 7's in a row, and even huge rolls with no sevens for sometimes hours, on very rare occasions. Over time all these still average out to cycles, of rolling a 7 every 6 rolls (roughly). If we lived in a perfect universe, where the percentages were pure and consistent for two rolled dice, you could bet a series of numbers right after a 7 and after five rolls, make your numbers, take them down and avoid the coming 7. In fact, in our universe of probability, over averages of many rolls this does actually average out this way, and using the system above, by placing a bet right after a 7 and making it working on the come out, you will more than likely hit the 6/8 once, making a profit and taking down to avoid the loss. By taking down your bet after a win, and waiting for the seven, you not only make a profit but avoid losing ANY money. No hedging, No dice setting, No pushing or regression/progressions needed. You simply avoid the loss and the combination of the win and avoidance of loss along the come out working 6/8, and the bet right after a 7, you should consistently win and see a different odds result.
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Yeah, you're right, it would really be frustrating during a hot roll. So, you modify your strategy by leaving your bets up longer, IE up to 4-6 times after they hit, or after a 7 is rolled....or play iron cross strategy after you hit one of your numbers. The thing is, if you play this strategy by the letter, betting $90 ea on the 6/8, you can make $1K in an hour, consistently.
I guess you just have to determine where your risk and comfort levels coincide. More risk surely equates to more fun. I guess it just comes down to determining if you'd rather be bored and have chips in your rail, or have a great time and be broke.
And if you get bored...cocktails!
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I have found the exact opposite to be true. There's no table I'd rather be at than the one with the girl who just turned 21 and "always wanted to try rolling the dice".Originally posted by DutchGuyNL View PostI feel like players who are setting the dice are winning more often. For some reason first timers always throw a 7 extremely fast.
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